Oct 29, 2024

Severe weather update

Posted Oct 29, 2024 9:15 PM

UPDATE:

 The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Dickinson County in central Kansas... Southeastern Geary County in east central Kansas... Morris County in east central Kansas... * Until 430 PM CDT. *

At 402 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles north of Burdick, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. *

Locations impacted include... Herington, Council Grove, White City, Dwight, Wilsey, Parkerville, Latimer, Council Grove Lake, and Burdick.  

---

The National Weather Service said that thunderstorms will develop along a cold front as it moves southeast across the area today.

● The potential hazards with the storms include damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and hail.

● Storms will occur throughout the morning across north-central KS before moving east during the afternoon, and are expected to exit east central KS by 10-11 pm. The greatest severe threat is expected to be between 4 and 10 pm over northeast and east central KS.

Confidence in thunderstorms is high today. Damaging winds are the most likely hazard. But there may be enough ingredients for a strong tornado or two. The risk for tornadoes is a low probability / high impact setup in that it’s not ideal, but there are enough ingredients to be on alert.

● The tornado threat, particularly for any strong tornado, will be highest with any discrete or embedded supercells.

○ The main uncertainty with this is if the cold front will help reduce this potential by undercutting storms

● A brief tornado or two will also be possible within the larger scale line of storms, but at a lower potential than with any supercell.

The National Weather Service provided more storm forecast information for Wednesday.

Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-

Today and tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are possible mainly late this afternoon through this evening. Large hail, damaging wind, and a few tornadoes are all possible.

---

The National Weather Service has issued a prediction for severe weather on Wednesday.

You can expect windy conditions with gusts around 50 mph Tuesday night as well.

For Wednesday thunderstorms will develop along a cold front as it moves southeast across the area. The severe weather threat continues to increase, with damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes all possible.

The severe threat will generally last from 1-10 PM, peaking at 5-9 pm in northeast and east-central Ks..